The Week Ahead 1/29

After many weeks of storm after storm, we’re entering into a less stormy pattern this week that should linger through about Feb 10/11. Temperatures go through a little up and down this week, but nothing overly mild, which has been the case in this “warm up” we’ve had. Overall temperatures stay slightly above average, but …

Long Term 1/26

We’re going to continue seeing very minor bouts of “warmth”, and by warmth…it’s really more like “not as cold.” Mixed precipitation events may be more prevalent in Days 7-14 as we transition. For the week of Feb 5, we’ll see a warmer cored air mass centered just north of the Great Lakes, which will bring …

Week Ahead 1/22

This is our week of moderation, though there’s no blowtorch of temperatures occurring, it’s actually more like a rollercoaster ride of somewhat seasonable temperatures and inclement weather. A weak wave of overrunning precipitation comes through later Tuesday into Wednesday morning from the Great Lakes to the Northeast. This is a warm front passing through but …

Long Term 1/19

Our arctic cold spell comes to an end heading into Monday with a brief “warm up” during the week. There’s not a ton of warm air in this, but it’ll get near/a bit above freezing at the height of the day, with a couple systems coming through as well – expect all p-types with these. …

The Week Ahead 1/15

A quick blog for the week ahead…we’re not seeing much change in the forecast as it’ll be a cold week with some minor bouts of snow. The 1/16 storm system revived itself in the last couple of days, once again giving credibility to the Canadian model who never gave up on this storm system when …

Long Term 1/12

We’re about to see our third system in 6 days arrive in the Northeast, and we’re not done yet. This one will be similar to the Tuesday/Wednesday storm, but honestly the latest runs look a smidge more intense with the damming. So while we’ll probably still see a transition to rain in all areas, snow …

Polar Vortex/Strat Warm Explainer

It’s been a while since I went over the intricacies of the polar vortex/stratospheric warming events. The polar vortex has had more airtime over the last several years, and the term is latched onto when temperatures plunge well below normal in the winter months. This cold intrusion has been linked to stratospheric warming events. The …

Long Term Views 1/6

The long term continues to look fairly volatile through the first 16-18 days of the month. We have the storm system tonight/tomorrow coming in, and another for Tuesday/Wednesday. While this will bring predominantly snow in the Great Lakes, it’ll be more of a mixed bag for the Northeast. Maine will hold onto snow the longest, …

The Week Ahead 1/1

New year, new week, new weather pattern. The cold has been coming in stronger than expected over the last 24 hours. This is a good sign heading into an active weather pattern. The NAO and AO are negative, and the NAO is going to be a key indicator in these next few storms. While the …

Long Term 12/29

The cold is transitioning into the region through the last couple days of the year. We’ll have a couple bouts of cold come through next week, including a potential coastal system on the 5th. From there, we have an overwhelming negative anomaly throughout much of the country for Days 7-14. There are storm signals on …