With the storm now in formation and moving through the Midwest, we can look at some verification of model data – which is going to be the next best thing of oodles of weather balloons going up. Overall, I’m kind of leaning Euro at the moment – I think its methodology is verifying best right …
Category Archives: Whiteface
The Week Ahead – Cold Start, Stormy End
It’s a cool and quiet start to the week, a nice calm moment before another storm heads our way. And by golly, we’ll get above freezing in some areas this week – brief for the Great Lakes & New England, and a couple days possible in the Mid-Atlantic – though we’ll be clouded up and …
Storm Update 1/29
We have the low deepening due south of Cape Cod and some massive snow bands forming for the coast. All in all, this under performed in PA/NY/NJ per reports from family – about 5″ in Philly, just shy of 10″ in Medford, NJ, and 12.5″ in Ocean City, NJ. What this is telling me is …
Long Term Views 1/28
Taking a break from the storm end of things, let’s talk about the long term. No doubt you’ve seen the extended forecast bringing in some not-as-frozen precipitation at the end of next week, which is ill-timed with snow coming to some this weekend. However, it’s kind of necessary to have this happen – it avoids …
The Week Ahead 1/24
Heading into our final week of January, we’re continuing with the cold stretch. A weak impulse of energy brings light snow to the Great Lakes early Monday, and into New England overnight into Tuesday. Fairly light amounts are expected of just a couple inches, with another reinforcing shot of cold air coming in behind it. …
Long Term Views 1/21
There’s a lot of inconsistency in the long term, so I’m going to focus in the first week of February for now. The Euro, of course, favors the eastern ridge for 1/28, but the GFS/Canadian see differently. I hedge toward the GFS/Canadian because they usually see cold when cold is coming, whereas the Euro is …
The Week Ahead – Fairly Cold, Quiet
There’s not a whole lot going on this week aside from cold, a few small snow chances, and more cold. This is certainly going to be a colder than normal January for us. A very weak clipper slides through the Great Lakes on Tuesday, and New England on Wednesday, and that’s about all the excitement …
Long Term Views 1/15
Just a quick update given the active forecast over the next 48 hours. The long term remains on course with a cold rest of January expected. Looking at the GFS, it’s holding onto the cold a little longer into February. In the long range, the GFS will more easily see the cold than the Euro …
Storm Update 1/15
About two hours ago, I would’ve had a more confident, concise opinion about the storm movement toward a more dominant inland low. However, some of the 12z guidance has shifted more emphasis on the coastal low, and the overarching message is then again, there is not enough information on how the energy transfer is happening …
Arctic Cold & Impending Storm
We have a lot on the table for the holiday. weekend; another cold blast of arctic air and an impending low pressure system that a little temperamental. This cold blast may not be as deep as the previous, but the timing is not helpful. We’ll have the heart of it in the Northeast Friday night …