We are finally turning the corner after a warm weekend headed our way. The first infusion of cold comes quickly next week (11/8), however sustained cold will begin coming in surges beginning next weekend (11/12). The pattern will be active and there are still pieces of tropical energy that are roaming around the Atlantic, therefore …
Category Archives: Whiteface
Additional Note on Tropics 11/1
For the last several weeks, we’ve been talking about the active tropics creating volatility in the long term. Due to the weak handling of tropical systems by models, we tend to have high variability in model runs for Days 5+, and cold surges not coming to fruition. I wanted to show you the last 4 …
The Week Ahead 2/28
Overall the start of March is going to be rather quiet. We have no major systems that will come through during the week, and eyes will be on the weekend for a (likely) warm system. A couple clippers come through with light snow – one on Tuesday and another Wednesday night into Thursday. These will …
Long Term Views 2/25
Heading into the first weekend and second week of March, it looks as though we’re going to have a little reprieve in cold shots after the succession of them in the upcoming week. This is a little different than what we had seen last week for the 3/4-3/11 time period, but this is likely because …
The Week Ahead 2/21 – Bad Start, Decent End for NE, Icy South
Another messy/warm start to the week for the Northeast; the Great Lakes will be in a better position for frozen precipitation, especially northern areas. The warmup we spoke about the long terms views on 2/11, has arrived. Though shorter than I expected, it’s coming in with another rain event for the Northeast on Tuesday (mixed …
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Long Term Views 2/18
There’s good news and there’s bad news. We’ll start with the bad news, as it’s in the short term, and I want to touch on the short-term since it’ll be on our doorstep by the usual Monday Week Ahead blog. The system arriving on Tuesday does not currently look promising for any region, except in …
The Week Ahead 2/14
The week ahead can be split up into a couple of segments; Monday & Tuesday are cool, Wednesday-Thursday are warm & windy, Friday – Sunday are back to cool. That’s the basic summary of it all…but certainly keep reading! The arctic chill holds on through Tuesday morning before we start to see some moderation in …
Long Term Views 2/11
The gradual pattern change is showing its colors these last few days, with some warmer moments and freeze/thaw cycles. We’ll have a cool down early next week; it will be rather substantial cold, but likely our last bout of real cold for several weeks. The eastern ridge begins to develop late next week, and therefore …
The Week Ahead – Weak Coastal, Then Quiet
Monday started off rather cool and cloudy, as a weak coastal system moves up the coast. Steadier precipitation comes into New England later on in the evening and overnight. The models were fairly undecided about this but had a clearer vision on Sunday with some impact – inland areas of NH & ME may receive …
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Long Term Views 2/4
Looking ahead to the second weekend of February and heading into February vacation weeks, we’re looking at an overall temperate pattern. We’ll likely see things on the cooler side for the 2/10-2/17 time frame, especially in the Great Lakes where our trough will begin to break down by the end of the period, eventually situating …