A few quick notes on the short term before we get into the long term… *Current air mass – mostly for New England areas – you may have noticed that there have been dry layers moving into different parts of the mountain today. This will likely continue into Saturday, and it can be very sporadic …
Category Archives: Whiteface
The Week Ahead 12/5
This week remains a bit tumultuous as the pattern shifts, but we’ve at least seen a little more consistency. As expected, we’ve seen some changes in the models as they weren’t making much sense when I recorded the long term video on Friday. However, there are still major inconsistencies in the GFS, therefore I’ve been …
The Week Ahead 11/28
The week ahead is fairly volatile and full of freeze/thaws events as we can’t quite get the pattern to settle, or the storm track to shift east. There are no massive warm ups but several events have more rain than snow followed by sharp dives into somewhat arctic air. We already experienced this briefly Friday, …
Long Term Views 11/25
After a prolonged period of cold, we’re now in a little break period, which is necessary to avoid extreme temperature movements. I’ve decided to focus on the GFS again as it has handled the early winter patterns well. We’ve seen the GFS pick up on changes in storms and timing about 24-48 hours before the …
The Week Ahead 11/21
Some interesting little movements in the weather pattern this week, but overall we begin warming toward the holiday weekend. There’s a front that comes through Tuesday morning, which allows us to warm up slightly ahead of it (most of which we’ll see overnight Monday night). Another weak front comes through Wednesday, which gives another quick …
Long Term Views 11/18
With many resorts turning on the guns (consistently) for the first time in the past week, getting natural snow, and even opening for the season, the long-awaited cold pattern is sticking around. A stronger cold punch arrives Sunday 11/20, and likely again on Sunday 11/27. The expected eastern trough should hang on through the final …
The Week Ahead 11/14
Cold air has finally arrived and will be sticking around the majority of the week. While the Great Lakes stay entrenched in the cold with snow showers throughout the entire week, we’ll have a couple ups and downs for the Northeast. Monday remained cold, and we’ll only see slight moderation into Tuesday. We do see …
Long Term Views 11/11
While we await the first real batch cold to come in the Northeast after the remnants of Nicole, we’ll take a quick peek at the forecast in the next 7-14 days. Overall, it’s favorable. The core of the cold continues to stay due north of the Great Lakes. I’ve chosen the GFS output because it’s …
Incoming Cold Details
We’re finally seeing the light at the end of the tunnel – some sustained cold arrives Sunday after a strong cold front kicks out the remnants of Tropical Storm Nicole. By the time Nicole gets to the Northeast, it will be a subtropical storm with heavy rain and an expanding wind field. The timing of …
The Week Ahead 11/7
The cold slowly begins to move in this evening after getting hung up to our west earlier this afternoon. Our coldest point in the Northeast will be just around sunrise on Tuesday morning. Wind remains high, especially at higher elevations. The depth remains relatively shallow, with a sharp 0C 850mb line right along the MA …