The transition is starting…roughly 7-10 days later than anticipated, but nonetheless it begins with the system coming through on Monday. That system will be mostly rain and quite a bit of wind as well. For Days 7-14, we are in the thick of it in the NE. While the bright red spot in the middle …
Category Archives: Waterville Valley
The Week Ahead 12/11
The week ahead is fairly quiet in terms of precipitation, but we are going to see a lot of movements in the temperatures in terms of weak fronts/shortwaves coming through. This may lead to non-diurnal temperature movements, which I’ve tried to outline in the discussions as well. Temperatures are already moving up in the Great …
Long Term 12/9
This is going to be a bit abbreviated given the volatile storm we’ve been tracking for Sunday night into Monday. It’s changed quite a bit from midweek, to say the least. There’s a lot of transitions and high impact to this system from heavy rain, to wind and then heavy snow — if you have …
The Week Ahead 12/4
Our early week snow was the main event for the week, which brought quite a bit of accumulation to New England, especially northern regions. We have some downtime with cold air and snow showers coming through into Tuesday. The cold reaches its core Tuesday night in the Great Lakes and Wednesday in the Northeast. The …
Long Term Views 12/1
We’re into December, which means we’re officially in meteorological winter. The new MEI value should be out by early next week to see where we are atmospherically, and the ONI is usually out 6-8 days after the beginning of the month, but we know that’s been running high. The last time we saw ONI’s around …
The Week Ahead 11/27
This is our transition week out of the cold punch pattern. We’ve had some consistent bouts of cold over the last couple of weeks and we’re going to ease that up a bit into the end of the week. However, the activity in the pattern is not going to stop, which means we’re still looking …
Long Term Views 11/24
We are heading into some interesting uncharted territory has the ONI Index nearly reaches a “very strong” El Nino status while the SOI and MEI say we’re barely in a weak El Nino state. For reference, Winter 2015-2016 was the last “super Nino” (ONI >2.0) and we know how that turned out. There really aren’t …
Long Term Trends 11/17
We’re about to enter into a very interesting short term and long term pattern. A strong cold front is en route to the east (take a look at the blue line in the screenshot of the front coming through a resort in Michigan). I don’t have the drop quite as sharp in the Northeast (12 …
The Week Ahead 11/13
Inversions stuck around for quite some time today ahead of a weak system coming through New England tonight. We’re seeing it dissipate as it moves through the area, so we’ll likely see some minor temperature movements (up and down) as the warm front and cold front move over the Northeast while simultaneously breaking down (WPC …
Long Term Trends 11/10
We start to shift the weather pattern a bit next week; but even then there’s been some discrepancy on how that evolves. There’s clear consensus on the cold retreating Wednesday of next week. The first divide in the road comes with a system next weekend. The Euro tries to bring a disorganized low pressure up …