We’re finally seeing the light at the end of the tunnel – some sustained cold arrives Sunday after a strong cold front kicks out the remnants of Tropical Storm Nicole. By the time Nicole gets to the Northeast, it will be a subtropical storm with heavy rain and an expanding wind field. The timing of …
Category Archives: Jay Peak
The Week Ahead 11/7
The cold slowly begins to move in this evening after getting hung up to our west earlier this afternoon. Our coldest point in the Northeast will be just around sunrise on Tuesday morning. Wind remains high, especially at higher elevations. The depth remains relatively shallow, with a sharp 0C 850mb line right along the MA …
Long Term Views 11/4
We are finally turning the corner after a warm weekend headed our way. The first infusion of cold comes quickly next week (11/8), however sustained cold will begin coming in surges beginning next weekend (11/12). The pattern will be active and there are still pieces of tropical energy that are roaming around the Atlantic, therefore …
Additional Note on Tropics 11/1
For the last several weeks, we’ve been talking about the active tropics creating volatility in the long term. Due to the weak handling of tropical systems by models, we tend to have high variability in model runs for Days 5+, and cold surges not coming to fruition. I wanted to show you the last 4 …
Long Term Views 4/29
Temperatures overall will remain below average for the first 10-14 days of May. Below average is still relatively warm when it comes to ski season and snow preservation, but there will still be some small opportunities for high elevation snow going through mid-month. However, there will be higher chances of widespread rain, more specifically on …
The Week Ahead 4/25
The main feature this week is a cut-off low, which initially brings showers as early as Tuesday morning to the region. Several waves of energy circle around the low this week. However on Wednesday, we’ll see a push of cold air to come in and provide higher changes of snow at higher elevations from Wednesday …
The Week Ahead 4/18
There’s one major story in the weather this week… and it’s Old Man Winter’s visit to a broad region of New England. This brings fairly decent accumulating snow in NW NJ/Poconos, Catskills, Adirondacks, and finally the Green and White mountains before pushing through Maine. A fair amount of heavy, wet snow is expected. This will …
Long Term Views 4/15
While next week certainly looks below average to start, especially with a possible wintry system arriving on Tuesday, there’s some consensus that we finish the week off well below average. Moving into the final week of the month, there’s less agreement on if the eastern trough hangs tough (which has been the trend for the …
The Week Ahead 4/12
Another typical spring week begins as we head into the mid-month time frame. Plenty of rain chances along with some warmer days can be expected this week. We’ll be dealing with a couple hours of rain Tuesday, mostly in the morning, as a weak low pressure moves through the region. Behind it, we clear out …
The Week Ahead 4/4
Though this week will start off relatively warm and sunny, the second half of the week bring a raw rain to most of the region. Overall temperatures will end up landing seasonably cool for the week despite the warmer days at the beginning of the week. There are two systems to impact the region; the …