As nice as January and February were, it was a struggle to enter March without much break from the warmth along with numerous rain events and ill-timed flash freezes. We finally made it through the 20-25th period of transition and are now squarely in a negative WPO scenario through most of April. The stronger sun …
Continue reading “Pattern Transitions with Icing Concern This Weekend”
Since our last blog, I’ve been watching the long term pretty closely as we progged March 20th as somewhat of a turning point of our first substantial warm period of the season. The teleconnections continue to paint the picture of the change but the deterministic runs have not — ensembles are a bit better so …
Late January into February was a fairly snowy and cold blitz from the Mid-Atlantic to New England. It’s been a winter that’s officially wintered — which I don’t think we can say has happened in quite a few years. Tomorrow, March 1 begins meteorological spring. Despite the snowy start that some of us will have …
Continue reading “Rollercoaster Start to March – Long Term Thoughts 2/28”
This was supposed to post yesterday, but somehow got stuck in the queue — therefore here’s an early morning blog for your wintry Thursday. This morning, we are watching another storm system come through the area with mixed precipitation. Reports of freezing rain are coming in from the Berkshires, the southern Adirondacks and Green Mountains. …
We’re going into our second 24 hours of temperatures moving in opposite directions than they usually do, as we have arctic fronts and low pressure systems altering the normal diurnal trend. There are few days in the 7 day forecast that don’t have a “rise” at night or “fall” during the day, so I wanted …
Outside of topographically induced snowfalls, it’s been a rather dry winter. While widespread, natural snow has been hard to come by, that pattern is set to continue through this week and most of next week. I do think we’ll start to see more activity next week and into early February as the pattern begins shifting. …
The cold has been dominant over the eastern seaboard for a while now, and there’s not much change in the trajectory. We have a brief reprieve this weekend, featuring calmer wind and slightly warmer temperatures. We’ll have some light snow on Saturday but sunshine returns (for some) on Sunday. Clouds return on Monday with another …
Continue reading “Slightly More Volatility Ahead, But Cold Prevails”
We have entered into one of the most consistent periods of cold we have seen in some time. This should easily take us into the MLK weekend time frame before we begin to see a pattern change. The Euro ensemble 2m temperature (F) anomaly shows below normal conditions in all areas outside of extreme northern …
It would be nice to get through a holiday week without the dreaded ‘R’ word, but alas, it won’t happen this year….although we made it through the majority of the full holiday week with awesome weather! In full transparency, the inversions/dry air aloft have been tough to forecast over the last 24 hours and it’ll …
Temperatures come down slightly tonight and Wednesday with a brief pass of a low pressure system Wednesday night. This brings rain to the Mid-Atlantic, a rain to snow transition in the Catskills and mostly snow elsewhere. Accumulations should be fairly light (2-4″) but with the cold coming Thursday, it does guarantee a white Christmas for …
