Not much has changed since we switched into April, now that we are heading into the middle of the month. The pattern remains quite unsettled, overall on the cooler side, and a sunny day is a hot commodity. While we enjoy some sun for Wednesday and early Thursday, the clouds come back in during the …
Continue reading “Relatively Cool, Sometimes Wintry Pattern Continues 4/9”
Despite having the ingredients for what should be wintry events, the time of year is having an effect on the outcome. The negative NAO can’t hold in enough cold air for the storm this week, even with a trending positive PNA. We’ll have a cold front move through tonight, dropping temperatures into Tuesday morning (though …
As nice as January and February were, it was a struggle to enter March without much break from the warmth along with numerous rain events and ill-timed flash freezes. We finally made it through the 20-25th period of transition and are now squarely in a negative WPO scenario through most of April. The stronger sun …
Continue reading “Pattern Transitions with Icing Concern This Weekend”
Since our last blog, I’ve been watching the long term pretty closely as we progged March 20th as somewhat of a turning point of our first substantial warm period of the season. The teleconnections continue to paint the picture of the change but the deterministic runs have not — ensembles are a bit better so …
Late January into February was a fairly snowy and cold blitz from the Mid-Atlantic to New England. It’s been a winter that’s officially wintered — which I don’t think we can say has happened in quite a few years. Tomorrow, March 1 begins meteorological spring. Despite the snowy start that some of us will have …
Continue reading “Rollercoaster Start to March – Long Term Thoughts 2/28”
This was supposed to post yesterday, but somehow got stuck in the queue — therefore here’s an early morning blog for your wintry Thursday. This morning, we are watching another storm system come through the area with mixed precipitation. Reports of freezing rain are coming in from the Berkshires, the southern Adirondacks and Green Mountains. …
We’re going into our second 24 hours of temperatures moving in opposite directions than they usually do, as we have arctic fronts and low pressure systems altering the normal diurnal trend. There are few days in the 7 day forecast that don’t have a “rise” at night or “fall” during the day, so I wanted …
Outside of topographically induced snowfalls, it’s been a rather dry winter. While widespread, natural snow has been hard to come by, that pattern is set to continue through this week and most of next week. I do think we’ll start to see more activity next week and into early February as the pattern begins shifting. …
The cold has been dominant over the eastern seaboard for a while now, and there’s not much change in the trajectory. We have a brief reprieve this weekend, featuring calmer wind and slightly warmer temperatures. We’ll have some light snow on Saturday but sunshine returns (for some) on Sunday. Clouds return on Monday with another …
Continue reading “Slightly More Volatility Ahead, But Cold Prevails”
We have entered into one of the most consistent periods of cold we have seen in some time. This should easily take us into the MLK weekend time frame before we begin to see a pattern change. The Euro ensemble 2m temperature (F) anomaly shows below normal conditions in all areas outside of extreme northern …
