We have another quiet few days before the pattern picks back up later this week into the weekend. Ahead of a cold front, we’ll have some warming late in the week, though it’s not expected to be significant warming given the current air mass.

Euro 850mb Anomaly 1/17-1/18

However, we’re watching the incoming front for possible low pressure development, and where this low may develop along the front. This is key as an early phase and development would lead to a rain event for the weekend. A later, or non-phase would be a much better scenario with possible snow or little amounts of precipitation ahead of some incoming cold. With a weakening AO & NAO, we’ll have to keep an eye on how the energies phase a little closer to the event.

Beyond the front, we are cold for a couple days. This is not the polar vortex intrusion – just a colder batch of air. Expect the possible polar vortex intrusion to come closer to the end of next week, along with a few storm chances.